Stocks

Analyzing the Recent Options Trading Trends for Taiwan Semiconductor (NYSE: TSM)

Published October 23, 2024

Major investors, often referred to as "whales," have shown a clearly bearish sentiment towards Taiwan Semiconductor recently. Analyzing the options history for Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM), we discovered a total of 59 trades.

When examining these trades closely, we find that 42% of these investors entered trades anticipating a bullish outcome, while 44% were bearish. This highlights a significant divide in market expectations regarding TSM's future performance.

Among all the recorded trades, there were 11 put options amounting to $690,119 and 48 call options totaling $2,866,123. This data indicates that while there is notable bullish activity, there remains a cautious and bearish approach from a considerable number of traders.

Analyzing Price Expectations

Recent trading behaviors suggest that key investors are focused on a potential price range for Taiwan Semiconductor between $130.0 and $310.0 over the past three months. This wide band reflects varying strategies and perspectives among investors regarding the company's stock potential.

Volume and Open Interest Insights

Understanding the volume and open interest is essential for evaluating a stock. These metrics help assess the liquidity and interest related to Taiwan Semiconductor's options at different strike prices. Below, we will explore the progression of both volume and open interest associated with calls and puts, particularly focusing on all whale activities in the range of $130.0 to $310.0 over the last month.

Key Options Trades Summary

Symbol PUT/CALL Trade Type Sentiment Exp. Date Ask Bid Price Strike Price Total Trade Price Open Interest Volume
TSM CALL SWEEP NEUTRAL 02/21/25 $22.90 $22.75 $22.90 $195.00 $228.90K 76.9K 116
TSM CALL TRADE BEARISH 02/21/25 $22.65 $22.45 $22.45 $195.00 $222.20K 76.9K 280
TSM PUT TRADE BULLISH 09/19/25 $12.75 $12.50 $12.50 $170.00 $216.20K 91 174
TSM CALL TRADE BEARISH 01/17/25 $16.65 $16.45 $16.51 $200.00 $165.10K 16.0K 1.2K
TSM CALL SWEEP BULLISH 11/01/24 $3.55 $3.40 $3.55 $205.00 $106.50K 1.3K 3.4K

About Taiwan Semiconductor

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) is the largest dedicated chip foundry in the world, commanding over a 60% market share. Founded in 1987 as a collaborative effort between Philips, the Taiwanese government, and private investors, TSMC went public in the US in 1997. Its considerable scale and advanced technology enable the company to maintain strong operating margins in a highly competitive landscape. The trend towards fabless business models has significantly benefited TSMC. Renowned for serving customers such as Apple, AMD, and Nvidia, which heavily rely on its state-of-the-art process technologies, TSMC has more than 73,000 employees.

After an exhaustive analysis of the options trading related to Taiwan Semiconductor, it is pertinent to dig deeper into its market position and performance.

Current Market Position of Taiwan Semiconductor

  • The stock trades at $200.43, having seen a rise of 0.98% with a trading volume of 10,431,093.
  • Current RSI values suggest the stock might be heading towards being overbought.
  • The next earnings report is slated for 85 days from now.

Analyst Opinions on Taiwan Semiconductor

Three market analysts have recently provided insights regarding this stock, establishing a consensus target price of approximately $216.67.

Noteworthy Options Activity: Watching the "Smart Money" Movement

Monitoring unusual options activity can reveal potential market shifts before they occur. Recent analyses include a maintaining Buy rating from an analyst at Needham with a target price of $225, while another from the same firm adjusted their target down to $210. Consistently, an analyst from Barclays has rated the stock as Overweight with a target price set at $215.

Options trading carries certain risks alongside its potential rewards. Savvy traders often mitigate these risks by staying educated, modifying their strategies, observing various indicators, and tracking market movements closely. Keeping abreast of recent Taiwan Semiconductor options trades can be beneficial for active investors.

trading, options, investors