Economy

China's Finance Ministry Leaves Investors Disappointed Without Stimulus Plans

Published October 12, 2024

China's Ministry of Finance held a press conference that many investors had anticipated would announce a significant fiscal stimulus package. Instead, the ministry focused on addressing pressing issues such as local government debt and the struggling property market. These two areas are crucial for the country's economic growth, but the absence of a comprehensive stimulus disappointed many who had hoped for more immediate financial support.

Focus on Local Government Debt

During the one-hour press conference, the finance minister, Lan Foan, acknowledged the challenges facing cash-strapped local governments. To help these regions, the ministry announced that local governments could access 2.3 trillion yuan (approximately US$325.3 billion) in special bond funding in the remaining months of the year. This funding aims to alleviate some of the financial stress local governments are experiencing.

Property Market Measures

Another priority mentioned was the property sector, which has been under significant pressure. Deputy finance minister Liao Min revealed that local governments would be permitted to use special bonds to purchase idle land and unsold commercial properties from struggling developers. This measure is intended to stabilize the property market and support troubled developers, but it falls short of more sweeping stimulus actions that markets were hoping for.

Future Expectations

Despite the lack of a broad stimulus plan, analysts maintain optimistic outlooks and anticipate some additional supportive measures. This could include increasing the fiscal deficit ratio above the current 3 percent, issuing more ultra-long special treasury bonds, and introducing tax cuts aimed at revitalizing the economy. Investors are on the lookout for these potential developments.

Debt Management Initiatives

Furthermore, the ministry announced plans for a notable increase in the debt ceiling for local governments, which would enable them to swap out hidden debts. This strategy was described by the finance minister as the “most powerful measure to support debt reduction introduced in recent years.” The emphasis on managing local government debt reflects the need for sustainable financial practices within China's economic framework.

Conclusion

In summary, while the press conference brought some attention to the critical issues of local debt and the property market, many investors were left wanting more robust measures to invigorate a volatile market. The Ministry of Finance's recent commitments may provide some relief; however, the anticipation of a more comprehensive stimulus package continues to linger.

China, Finance, Investors