Stocks

IonQ vs. Quantum Computing, Inc.: A Look at Quantum Computing Stocks

Published December 28, 2024

As the quantum computing market continues to grow, investors are keenly interested in which companies may lead the way in the coming years. In this discussion, we focus on two prominent players: IonQ and Quantum Computing, Inc.. The question on many minds is whether IonQ can surpass Quantum Computing, Inc. as early as 2025 and into the future.

Quantum computing is generating significant excitement. Over the past six months, three out of the four best-performing stocks belong to companies that are heavily invested in this innovative technology. The potential for quantum computers to solve extremely complex problems rapidly keeps investor hopes high.

Specifically, IonQ has seen an increase of 484% in its stock price as of late December, but surprisingly, this impressive figure does not place it among the top four performers. Instead, it ranks 16th, trailing behind Quantum Computing, Inc., which posted a staggering 2,735% gain.

Financial Overview of Both Companies

Here’s a comparative look at some key financial metrics for both IonQ and Quantum Computing Inc.:

Metric

Quantum Computing, Inc.

IonQ

Market Cap

$2.4 billion

$10.2 billion

Revenue (TTM)

$390,000

$37.5 million

Net Profit Margin (TTM)

(6,159%)

(457.9%)

Free Cash Flow (TTM)

($20.5 million)

($120.4 million)

Cash and Short-Term Investments

$3.06 million

$301.8 million

Data was collected from reliable financial sources as of December 26, 2024.

Both companies share similarities in their financial profiles. Despite their high valuations, revenues remain minimal, and both are currently experiencing significant losses. Neither IonQ nor Quantum Computing is focused on achieving profitability right now. Instead, they are in the developmental phase, aiming to bring new technologies to market that may eventually lead to profitability.

IonQ has made clear in its regulatory filings that it expects to continue incurring losses until at least 2025, the earliest they anticipate significant production of their quantum systems begins. This uncertainty reflects a broader trend among development-stage companies, many of which struggle to meet market expectations.

Similarly, Quantum Computing has acknowledged major financial challenges, indicating they have experienced negative cash flows and considerable net losses for several years. This raises serious questions about their sustainability as a business.

Unique Features of IonQ and Quantum Computing, Inc.

IonQ is recognized as a prominent manufacturer of quantum computing systems, with a customer base that includes U.S. military organizations, vehicle maker Hyundai, and industrial giant Caterpillar. Additionally, IonQ's technology is accessible through major cloud platforms like Amazon, Microsoft, and Alphabet.

IonQ recently introduced its Forte system, which utilizes trapped ion architecture to offer 32 qubits of quantum computing power. While this system has proven its capability for basic calculations, it has not yet reached a functional level suitable for real-world business applications. Its production cost is estimated at around $13 million.

On the other hand, Quantum Computing started with a focus on developing software and algorithms for third-party quantum hardware. They have expanded their scope by merging with a hardware research company and are now exploring opportunities to sell comprehensive quantum computing systems as well. As of now, they have yet to ship any hardware but are pursuing partnerships and research initiatives that may lead to product sales in the near future.

Investing in Quantum Computing Stocks

Given the current landscape, it is still early to declare definitive long-term winners in the dynamic and uncertain realm of quantum computing. A more cautious approach might involve investing in larger tech companies that are also delving into quantum computing. These giants often possess more resources and stability to navigate the unpredictability of research and development projects.

However, when it comes to the direct comparison between IonQ and Quantum Computing Inc., IonQ emerges as a stronger candidate. They have successfully secured long-term contracts and begun to deliver systems to clients, all while maintaining a solid cash reserve that could support them through the next few years without needing additional fundraising. In contrast, Quantum Computing does not enjoy the same financial cushion, making it a riskier investment option.

In conclusion, the recommendation leans towards IonQ as a more favorable investment compared to Quantum Computing. Each investor must assess their risk tolerance, but given the current analysis, IonQ presents itself as the more stable choice in this volatile industry.

Quantum, Investing, Stocks