Companies

Atlassian Corp: Strong Cloud Growth and AI Adoption Spark Analyst Optimism

Published February 1, 2025

Recent quarterly results from Atlassian Corp (NASDAQ: TEAM) have caught the attention of Wall Street analysts, leading to increased optimism about the company's future. Following these results, many analysts have revised their ratings and price targets for Atlassian stock.

Analyst Ratings Raise Expectations

Several analysts have reassessed their positions on Atlassian:

  • JMP Securities analyst Patrick Walravens maintained a Market Perform rating.
  • Raymond James’ Adam Tindle upgraded the stock from $250 to $330, keeping an Outperform rating.
  • Truist Securities analyst Joel Fishbein reiterated a Buy rating, raising the price target from $300 to $350.
  • Keybanc analyst Jason Celino also maintained an Overweight rating, increasing his target from $315 to $365.
  • Cantor Fitzgerald's Thomas Blakey reiterated a Neutral stance, lifting the target from $264 to $304.
  • Scotiabank's Nick Altmann upheld a Sector Perform rating, with a target increase from $250 to $330.

The positive adjustments come in the wake of Atlassian's fiscal second-quarter 2025 results, which exceeded expectations. The company reported an adjusted EPS of $0.96 against a consensus estimate of $0.76, alongside total revenue of $1.286 billion, surpassing the consensus of $1.240 billion.

Cloud and Revenue Performance

Cloud revenue, a critical driver for Atlassian, reached $847 million, marking a 30% year-over-year increase, outperforming the previous guidance of 25.5%. Although this was a slight decline from the 31% growth seen last quarter, it still exceeded analyst estimates.

Data Center revenue also showed robust growth, totaling $362 million, up 32% year-over-year. Billings for the quarter were reported at $1.470 billion, representing an impressive 21% growth year over year.

AI Developments and Enterprise Focus

Analyst Adam Tindle highlighted Atlassian's emphasis on enterprise customers as both a challenge and an opportunity, noting that 85% of Fortune 500 companies are now Atlassian clients. The expected growth in this enterprise segment poses a significant $14 billion opportunity for the company.

Furthermore, the company is experiencing momentum in its AI initiatives. With over 1 million monthly active users engaging with Rovo and Atlassian Intelligence features, market expectations are shifting favorably.

Outlook and Future Projections

Analysts are projecting similar revenues for the upcoming quarter, with expectations set around $1.35 billion and an EPS ranging from 88 to 92 cents. A consistent theme across analysis is the anticipation of further growth driven by both the cloud services and AI monetization strategies that Atlassian is implementing.

Conclusion

The response from the market has been immediate, with Atlassian's stock price reflecting the analysts' increased confidence. The stock is currently up 13.1% to $310.95. As the enterprise segment continues to grow and AI capabilities expand, analysts remain optimistic about Atlassian's trajectory in the coming quarters.

Atlassian, Cloud, AI