Markets

Asia FX Muted as Markets Assess Trump Tariffs and Dollar Stabilizes

Published January 7, 2025

Investing in Asian currencies has shown little movement on Tuesday, with most trading within a narrow range as traders evaluate the implications of potentially less stringent trade tariffs from the incoming U.S. President Donald Trump. At the same time, the dollar managed to stabilize after experiencing several losses overnight.

The Chinese yuan remains substantially weaker compared to other currencies, having reached its lowest point in 17 years on Monday. Although it has regained some value, the yuan's condition remains precarious, especially with new restrictions imposed by the U.S. targeting Chinese companies, which adds further strain.

The dollar has seen a slight recovery after bouncing back from substantial losses, thanks to a recent report that has raised speculation about the nature of Trump's tariff plans.

In Japanese markets, the yen rose by 0.4%, achieving its highest value in nearly six months, while the Australian dollar saw a 0.2% increase. Anticipation builds as November economic data from Australia is set to be released on Wednesday.

Meanwhile, the South Korean won showed a slight decline, while the Indian rupee stabilized after a sharp recovery from historically high levels above 86 rupees.

Dollar Stabilizes Above One-Week Low Amid Tariff Speculation

The dollar slightly improved during Asian trading hours, recovering from a one-week low reached on Monday.

The greenback regained most of its losses from Monday, following Trump's denial of a report that suggested his administration would implement more lenient trade tariffs than initially communicated.

President Trump, set to take office in less than two weeks, has promised to enforce significant import tariffs on China and other major economies, which raises worries about a potential escalation in global trade tensions.

The anticipation of new tariffs has been a significant factor in the dollar's recent rebound, alongside increasing confidence that the Federal Reserve will slow its interest rate cuts throughout 2025. This was further supported by hawkish comments from Fed officials over the past weekend.

This week, traders are paying close attention to vital U.S. economic data for December, which is scheduled to be released on Friday, as it could provide further insight into the health of the U.S. economy and labor market.

Chinese Yuan Remains Vulnerable Following U.S. Trade Concerns

This week, the Chinese yuan was identified as the poorest-performing currency in Asia, reaching its lowest level in 17 years on Monday.

On Tuesday, the yuan's onshore trading pair experienced a 0.3% uptick, but overall, the currency continues to show signs of weakness amidst growing tensions over U.S.-China trade relations.

Recently, the U.S. government added notable technology firms such as Tencent Holdings Ltd and Contemporary Amperex Technology to a blacklist due to their connections with the Chinese military, which is likely to exacerbate tensions between the two countries.

In response to possible trade conflicts with the U.S., China is anticipated to introduce additional stimulus measures to support its economy.

Later this week, the focus will also be on upcoming economic reports from China, particularly one scheduled for Thursday, as the nation works to stabilize its economic growth amidst these trade challenges.

Asia, FX, Dollar